BSG draw system update: 2k rule dropped

The data above is from Jan 7th 2024 to March 10th 2024.

The A2 and A2.1 bots are the most important to look at. These are the pre-match current odds bets, the core trend selection method. This data was collected in Simulation Mode on BFBM, so the pre-match current odds P/L are the most accurate. The other bots are purely for comparative analysis.

The original settings bot shows +111 points after 967 bets. 11.4% ROI from a 35% win rate.

The 2k+ traded volume settings  bot shows +56 points after 470 bets over the same 3 month period. 11.9% ROI from a 35% win rate. That is pretty much half the volume of bets. 

To make 3rd party verification of tips on TippingSports easier to view there are other accounts for this system run from 2023-11-17 and 2024-1-9.

bsgDrawSys0_5p  https://www.tippingsports.com/en/profile/9153 A 0.5 point version of the  system with no “Traded Volume +2,000 GBP” rule. All tips on this version were set at 0.5 points.

BsgDraws2k  https://www.tippingsports.com/en/profile/9277 A 0.5 point version of the  system with “Traded Volume +2,000 GBP” rule. All tips on this version were set at 0.5 points.

The 2k+ rule showed drawdowns of -15 points and -10 points on 2 occasions.

The original version showed bigger drawdowns of -20 points. An interesting point here is that the drawdown dates do not correspond to each other. For example, when the +2k rule version was reaching the bottom of its -10 point run, the original version had already rebounded to its previous level. So it is not a case of the 2k version making drawdowns smaller, but the 2 versions having quite different patterns and drawdowns.

The original version shows the big -70 point loss in Dec/Jan, but the +2k version was not running then so I don’t know how it would have affected things.

From this data it appears that the 2k version does reduce volatility slightly, for example -15 points instead of -20 points, but i halves the volume of bets in that time which halves the profit. Since we are still risking our 300 point bank on both, I would rather go for the original version.

I have changed the bsgDrawSystem https://www.tippingsports.com/en/profile/8801 version back to the original settings without the 2k+ traded volume rule. If you would like to continue with the +2k traded volume, then you will need to edit your bots to bet on trigger tips from BsgDraws2k  https://www.tippingsports.com/en/profile/9277 If you click to follow the BsgDraws2k  account, an automated message gets emailed to me and I will then approve it if you have an active subscription with me. If you want to split your bank with half following the original version and half following the 2k version, or if you want to run some 1 GBP test bots on one of them, that is fine, too. You can follow both with one subscription.

 

Author: Mary Riley